The surge in Canadian oil production must now face a new reality: The biggest mover of crude says the pipes out of the country are full.

In recent years, estimates by analysts and energy consultants predicted that Canada stood to run out of room on export pipelines some time between 2014 and 2018. And it has become clear that the pipes are filling, amid rising oil output from both the oil sands and fast-growing U.S. oil fields.

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