$40 Oil Not High Enough To Save A Lot Of Drillers

For a while there in January and early February investors started to get truly nervous about the energy sector. Everyone knows the energy industry itself is in trouble, but earlier this year there was increased concern about energy woes spilling over into the broader economy as China and the EU added their own troubles to the mix. Those fears have been alleviated in part due to the limited rebound oil prices have seen in the last few weeks. It’s too soon to tell if the worst is truly behind us, but for energy companies any salvation may already be too little too late.

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Does Saudi Arabia’s Play For Market Share Make Sense?

Props to Saudi Arabia. Unlike other producers, including U.S. shale producers, it maintained financial strength and flexibility during the last boom. When it began to shift the paradigm of global supply, the kingdom was explicit about its goal—market share—even if it didn’t always trumpet the proactive steps it was taking towards that goal. The now-evident objective of low prices, having been achieved and sustained, begs the question of why Saudi Arabia defended its market share.

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It’s Official: The Oil Surge Was Driven By The Biggest Short-Squeeze Ever

Two months ago, just before crude dropped to 13 year lows, we warned oil traders that there is “a constant short squeeze threat” because “oil shorts are at all-time highs”, adding that “we have seen extreme short positioning building up in the oil futures market. The quantity of short positions opened is at an all-time high for Brent, and still high for WTI futures.”

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